Black Swan and Santa - A Case for “Science Supports Open Mindedness”
Saturday, March 8th, 2008Take One: On Scientific Thinking
How many white swans do you have to count to prove and conclude that there is no black swan?
Before the discovery of Australia in seventeen century, it was considered scientific fact that all swans were white. After all, millions had been seen and they were all white. When the black swan was eventually discovered in Australia, besides proving NOT all swans are white, it gave an insight on deductive logic: we couldn’t prove that there was no black swan, as David Hume argued, by counting (even millions) white swans.
Therefore we cannot prove there is no God, or no Bodhisattva, or even no Santa Claus. How many Christmases without a real Santa Claus are required to prove there is no Santa? By not seeing him around doesn’t mean he does not exist. It just takes one next Christmas with that snow sleigh flying cross the winter moon to prove you (well, us) wrong.
We cannot prove their non-existence. And off course, I am agreeable with you that we can neither prove their existence.
My good friend told me that she had never tried to convinced her child to believe in Santa Claus. “Why create illusion?” I agreed. The conversation developed into religions. She said she was “science person”. I paused. And disagreed.
Believing that Santa does not exist is BELIEF. There is nothing “science” about it. In a way I do believe Santa is our imagination, but I reckon this is, too, a belief. We simply cannot prove non existance of black swan by counting white swan. There is no fact to proof that Santa does not exist.
Take Two: On Belief
Before I continue, things that its existence can be proven, like gravity, we “know” it exist. We don’t need to believe its existence. Things that we cannot prove by science, we choose to “believe”.
(To know is simple. They are all proven by science. To believe the “can’t-be-proven-yet”, takes efforts.)
So when I choose to believe in their existence, I am not based on scientific or empirical conclusion. When you choose to believe their non-existence, neither are you in a scientific thinking. Both are beliefs which cannot be scientifically verified or proven.
Intellectually, we are the same level. We both choose a side to BELIEVE something that cannot be proven by science, i.e. spiritual existence and/or non-existence.
A true scientific mind or a critical mind would reckon that “there is a possibility that they exist and there is a possibility that they do not exist”. And just stop there. True application of science and its methodology lead to open mindedness instead of suffocating imagination and killing the world of possibility.
I told my friend to tell her daughter that may be Santa does exist… and this is a scientific mindset.
Take Three: On Openmindedness
Then why we choose to believe what cannot be proven? The answer is why it has to be proven? Openmindedness includes more than mere scientific mind as discribed above.
It can also include a intellectual position that…standing on facts, choosing a belief yet awaring that such belief is not supoorted by empirical evidence and accept the possibility of being wrong.
A gullible mind is usually a unscientific, narrow and fixed mind that ignore possibilities despite new empirical evidences. I disagree with Richard Chappell that “Rationality must remain as a filter” because rationality itself is reason/ logic (therefore a way of belief) and not empirical facts. By practising “Rationality as filter” we are selecting facts to believe. And if we are strong in believe in our such “filtered view based on rationality”, we can be dangerously blinded from seeing new empirical evidence. Gullibility is exactly such insistance of rationality filtered knowledge despite new facts proving otherwise. For instance, before 4th century it would be considered real gullible to believe that the earth is round. The fact was that “sky is up and earth is down”, with “Rationality must remain as a filter” we would insisted that the earth is indeed flat and would sent Galileo Galilei into house arrest.
